Category: CKW’s Blog

Who are the Rich?

You?Adjusted Gross Income (AGI), on tax returns filed with the IRS, based on 2015 data, are as follows:AGI $100,000 or greater = 17.4%AGI of $200,000 or greater = Top 5%AGI of $500,000 or greater = Top 1% of tax returns filed The number of rich people gets even...

Average Is Rare

Average is rare, does not stay the same, and slowly moves above and below where the average was. Why does the real estate market report median price while the stock market reports mean valuation? The 25 year average PE is going to rise because PE’s 25 years ago were...

Gatekeeper or Asset Manager – Time to Choose

Gatekeepers who are or want to be Asset Managers need to choose.  The standards of Gatekeepers letting Asset Managers pass the gate have not changed much since I taught Manager Selection and Due Diligence for IMCA’s CIMA certification.  What has changed are the...

People have Peaked not the Market

The generalists are mostly gone from our profession and the professionals are now specialists.  Technology will continue to bring cheaper, better products to the consumer.  ETP are one example of technology driving cost down and eliminating the many middlemen. Due...

Passive vs Active

Both passive and active are here to stay.  The correct answer to which is better? As always is, “It depends.” It depends on what is passive and what is active.  And in the end, people will disagree anyway. An index based on screening for different variables used by...

Dow 30,000, S&P 500 3000?

4/11/16 – We asked for an $18 trillion loan. No one responded. At the time the market PE was approximately 16x current earnings or an E/P earnings yield of 6.25% plus a dividend of 2%. 8/12/16 – The DOW was at 18,473 – 450 times its original value of 40.94 in 1896....